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dc.contributor.advisorShell, Robert C.H.
dc.contributor.advisorHaldenwang, B.B.
dc.contributor.authorMatanyaire, Sandra D.
dc.contributor.otherDept. of Statistics
dc.contributor.otherFaculty of Science
dc.date.accessioned2013-06-18T07:52:51Z
dc.date.available2007/04/16 15:39
dc.date.available2007/04/16
dc.date.available2013-06-18T07:52:51Z
dc.date.issued2004
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11394/1456
dc.descriptionMagister Scientiae - MScen_US
dc.description.abstractThe first two official AIDS cases were diagnosed in South Africa in 1982. During the same period of the 1980s, the black/African population was experiencing an accelerated fertility decline, following a period of accelerated mortality decline. Demographers invoked the demographic transition theory to explain the observed mortality and fertility decline. According to the demographic transition theory, mortality and fertility rates would continue declining to low, post transitional levels with increasing modernization. The relatively higher prevalence of HIV/AIDS estimated among black/African South Africans is expected to alter their demographic transition. This research investigated the impact of HIV/AIDS on the demographic transition of black/Africans by 2021.en_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherUniversity of the Western Capeen_US
dc.subjectAIDS (Disease)en_US
dc.subjectSouth Africaen_US
dc.subjectHIV (Viruses)en_US
dc.subjectEpidemiologyen_US
dc.subjectMortalityen_US
dc.subjectDiseasesen_US
dc.subjectPopulation forecastingen_US
dc.titleThe AIDS transition: impact of HIV/AIDS on the demographic transition of black/African South Africans by 2021en_US
dc.typeThesisen_US
dc.rights.holderUniversity of the Western Capeen_US
dc.description.countrySouth Africa


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